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Projects / Programmes source: ARIS

Mathematical models for predicting landslide prone areas

Research activity

Code Science Field Subfield
1.06.00  Natural sciences and mathematics  Geology   

Code Science Field
P510  Natural sciences and mathematics  Physical geography, geomorphology, pedology, cartography, climatology 
Keywords
landslides, prediction, mathematical models, spatial analiysis
Evaluation (rules)
source: COBISS
Researchers (2)
no. Code Name and surname Research area Role Period No. of publicationsNo. of publications
1.  18166  PhD Marko Komac  Geology  Researcher  2004 - 2006  521 
2.  01404  PhD Bojan Ogorelec  Geology  Head  2004 - 2006  369 
Organisations (1)
no. Code Research organisation City Registration number No. of publicationsNo. of publications
1.  0215  Geological Survey of Slovenia  Ljubljana  5051410000  11,243 
Abstract
Past research in the field of the landslide prone areas prediction in Slovenia (Petkovšek et al., 1993; Ribičič et al., 1994; Ribičič & Šinigoj, 1996; Vukadin & Ribičič, 1998; Urbanc et al., 2000; Komac 2003; Komac, v tisku) and in the rest of the world (Neuland, 1976; DeGraff & Romesburg, 1984; Pack, 1985; Bernkopf, 1988; Pike, 1988; Corominas, 1992; Othman et al., 1992; Atkinson & Massari, 1996; Chung & Fabbri, 1999; Halounova, 1999; Sinha et al., 1999; Syarief et al., 1999; Chung & Shaw, 2000; Gorsevski et al., 2000a; Gorsevski et al., 2000b; Dhakal et al., 2000; Vestal, 2002) have shown that it is possible to predict landslide prone areas (and other hillslope mass movements) with an acceptable reliability using methods, based on the subjective expert decisions, or even better, based on objective statistical prediction models. Numerous data on spatial factors that potentially influence the landslide occurrence, and numerous methodologies, automatically pose the question which method or model is better, why it is so, and what are its deficiencies. We will focus the research into better understanding of the relation between spatial factors and landslide occurrence, and into better understanding of the correlation between useful spatial factors. Analyses will enable us to determine the applicability of new, merged images, in more detailed detection of hillslope mass movements, such as landslides, debris flows, slides, etc. Positive results will enable a better use of these data in the engineering geology, in the quartar geology, in the sedimenthology, and in the structural geology. Given results will be upgraded with their incorporation into the process of the landslide prediction models development. At the same time we will pursuit the search for the best possible mathematical model for predicting landslide prone areas. Beside the geological use, there are several other possibilities of the applicability of the results, ieg. forestry, agriculture, insurance, and spatial planning.
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