Projects / Programmes
Time and space variability of climate and its influence on agroecosystems of slovenia
| Code |
Science |
Field |
Subfield |
| 4.03.02 |
Biotechnical sciences |
Plant production |
Soil and micro-climate |
| Code |
Science |
Field |
| P500 |
Natural sciences and mathematics |
Geophysics, physical oceanography, meteorology |
| B270 |
Biomedical sciences |
Plant ecology |
climate, climate change, global warming, climate change scenario, ecology, agriculture, crop model, strategies, adaptation measures
Researchers (5)
Abstract
Observations collected over the last century suggest that the average land surface temperature has risen 0.5-0.8°C and at least 0.3°C in past 25 years. Based on the established trends and according to numerical Atmospheric General Circulation Models, climatologists predict that the warming trend will persist resulting in increase in the average global temperature of 1.0 to 3.5°C in the next century. Global warming may cause also changes in precipitatio regime etc. Natural and man-made ecosystems could face significant environmental impacts as a result climatic changes. Impacts will vary greatly depending on the extent of climate change and on the type of agriculture. In the frame of the project we would like to establish which crops and regions in Slovenia are likely to be most vulnerable to climate change. Well tested dynamic simulation crop models for various plant varieties will be used in the study. For assessment of future climatic conditions various climatic scenarios will be applied for the mesoscale of Slovenia. Study will provide estimates of crop yield changes including potential forest biomass changes in the future. Some possible adaptations of agriculture to climate change will be considered, as well.
