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Projects / Programmes source: ARIS

Causalify - Causality in global social dynamics

Research activity

Code Science Field Subfield
2.07.07  Engineering sciences and technologies  Computer science and informatics  Intelligent systems - software 

Code Science Field
P176  Natural sciences and mathematics  Artificial intelligence 

Code Science Field
1.02  Natural Sciences  Computer and information sciences 
Keywords
artificial intelligence, causal modelling, probabilistic reasoning, language understanding, low carbon economy, knowledge graphs
Evaluation (rules)
source: COBISS
Researchers (7)
no. Code Name and surname Research area Role Period No. of publicationsNo. of publications
1.  22278  PhD Janez Brank  Computer science and informatics  Researcher  2019 - 2022  95 
2.  28015  PhD Blaž Fortuna  Computer science and informatics  Researcher  2019 - 2022  152 
3.  31885  PhD Aljaž Košmerlj  Computer science and informatics  Researcher  2019 - 2022  34 
4.  33425  PhD Jurij Leskovec  Computer science and informatics  Researcher  2019 - 2022  281 
5.  12570  PhD Dunja Mladenić  Computer science and informatics  Head  2019 - 2022  662 
6.  34646  PhD Inna Novalija  Computer science and informatics  Researcher  2019 - 2022  65 
7.  32381  PhD Primož Škraba  Mathematics  Researcher  2019 - 2022  133 
Organisations (1)
no. Code Research organisation City Registration number No. of publicationsNo. of publications
1.  0106  Jožef Stefan Institute  Ljubljana  5051606000  90,682 
Abstract
The next wave of Artificial Intelligence will be centred on extracting deeper structure from observed systems. Built on the rapid development of existing AI technologies, topics such as Causal Reasoning, Common Sense Reasoning, Text Understanding will result in much more powerful solutions than are possible today.   In Causalify, we target scenarios where we (a) monitor multiple complementary global real-time data streams, (b) interconnect them into an evolving probabilistic causal knowledge graph, (c) prepare an operational algorithmic platform, (d) answer and explain complex proactive and reactive questions about the world’s known and possibly unknown phenomena, (e) address ethical and human protective issues related to such up-coming AI technologies, and (f) apply the developed methods to the domain of the low carbon economy.   Our cross-disciplinary use-case is the field of global Low Carbon Economy, addressing societal, political, economic, health, food and environmental aspects. We have ensured access to multiple data streams covering different aspects of the relevant global dynamics in near real-time including media, market, supply chain, jobs & skills, science, weather and satellite images.   Sample questions we aim to answer are: predicting trends and follow-up events in the world, answering ‘what-if’ questions, causally explaining global phenomena in a human understandable way, predicting disruptions along supply chains, predicting the impact of science on the job market, and proactively spotting anomalies from earth observation data.   Methodologically, our starting points are the state-of-the-art AI approaches and tools. We expect key scientific results in theory, methodology and algorithms, especially in the fields of scalable multiresolution causality modelling, text understanding, scalable probabilistic reasoning, evolving knowledge graph construction from diverse data sources and new insights into the Low Carbon Economy.
Significance for science
The importance of the proposed project for the broad advancement of research is in addressing topics which will be most likely future topics of Artificial Intelligence, beyond existing “narrow AI tasks”. This includes deeper structural insights into observed systems like causality modelling, common sense reasoning, using state-of-the art machine learning (deep learning) to learn highly efficient reasoning operators, and text understanding. All these approaches will be combined to gain global insights into low carbon economy on large real data streams on global dynamics. An additional confirmation of the importance of the proposed research is the recent (Dec 2018) DARPA call on “Machine Common Sense” and upcoming call (mid 2019) on “Knowledge-directed Artificial Intelligence Reasoning Over Schemas” both addressing the topics of the proposed project Causalify.
Significance for the country
The importance of the proposed project for the broad advancement of research is in addressing topics which will be most likely future topics of Artificial Intelligence, beyond existing “narrow AI tasks”. This includes deeper structural insights into observed systems like causality modelling, common sense reasoning, using state-of-the art machine learning (deep learning) to learn highly efficient reasoning operators, and text understanding. All these approaches will be combined to gain global insights into low carbon economy on large real data streams on global dynamics. An additional confirmation of the importance of the proposed research is the recent (Dec 2018) DARPA call on “Machine Common Sense” and upcoming call (mid 2019) on “Knowledge-directed Artificial Intelligence Reasoning Over Schemas” both addressing the topics of the proposed project Causalify.
Most important scientific results Interim report
Most important socioeconomically and culturally relevant results
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