Projects / Programmes
Forest ecosystem dynamics under climate change: effects of severe disturbance and climate warming
Code |
Science |
Field |
Subfield |
4.01.01 |
Biotechnical sciences |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Forest - forestry |
Code |
Science |
Field |
B003 |
Biomedical sciences |
Ecology |
Code |
Science |
Field |
4.01 |
Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences |
Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries |
Adaptation, climate change, disturbance, ecosystem services, mortality, resilience
Researchers (18)
no. |
Code |
Name and surname |
Research area |
Role |
Period |
No. of publicationsNo. of publications |
1. |
10801 |
PhD Andrej Bončina |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2022 |
517 |
2. |
54424 |
Živa Bončina |
|
Technical associate |
2020 |
18 |
3. |
54436 |
Matteo Cerioni |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2020 - 2022 |
12 |
4. |
11253 |
PhD Jurij Diaci |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2022 |
716 |
5. |
27615 |
PhD Andrej Ficko |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2020 |
166 |
6. |
34320 |
PhD Gal Fidej |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2022 |
86 |
7. |
55277 |
Blaž Fricelj |
|
Technical associate |
2021 - 2022 |
16 |
8. |
30165 |
PhD Tine Hauptman |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2020 |
322 |
9. |
02491 |
PhD Maja Jurc |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2022 |
564 |
10. |
28501 |
PhD Matija Klopčič |
Biotechnical sciences |
Researcher |
2019 - 2022 |
176 |
11. |
27544 |
PhD Thomas Andrew Nagel |
Biotechnical sciences |
Head |
2019 - 2022 |
234 |
12. |
13256 |
Roman Pavlin |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2021 |
87 |
13. |
55236 |
Tim Pirc |
|
Technical associate |
2021 - 2022 |
12 |
14. |
25666 |
PhD Aleš Poljanec |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Technical associate |
2020 |
249 |
15. |
24368 |
PhD Andrej Rozman |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2020 |
113 |
16. |
21043 |
PhD Dušan Roženbergar |
Forestry, wood and paper technology |
Researcher |
2019 - 2022 |
231 |
17. |
29888 |
PhD Rok Šibanc |
Pharmacy |
Technical associate |
2019 - 2020 |
63 |
18. |
52403 |
Vasilije Trifković |
|
Researcher |
2019 - 2020 |
29 |
Organisations (1)
Abstract
Climate change is expected to cause dramatic alterations to forest ecosystems over the next century. Ongoing climate change influences forests via two contrasting sets of processes, namely, 1) long term and gradual changes in temperature and precipitation and 2) changes in natural disturbance regimes, such as alterations in the frequency and severity of fires, windstorms, insect and pathogen outbreaks, and severe drought. These climate-related drivers in turn cause both slow and fast changes to forest ecosystems. There is widespread concern in the scientific community that the combination of multiple drivers, such as severe disturbance and drought, may exceed the resilience threshold of a given forest system, potential leading to a loss of ecosystem services. The proposed research takes advantage of unique circumstances (i.e. widespread damage from recent severe ice-storm and bark beetle disturbances) and long-term national scale data to examine the influence of both of these climate related drivers at the scale of Slovenia and beyond. Work-package (WP) 1 will monitor forest recovery following large-severe disturbances in dominant forest types as a measure of resilience; WP 2 uses long-term data from permanent plots across old-growth forests in Slovenia, Europe, North America, and globally to examine rates of tree mortality to better understand how climate change may be influencing demography; WP 3 uses national forest inventory data to examine if tree regeneration is tracking changes in climate. Collectively, these three studies will provide key insight into the ongoing effects of climate change on forest ecosystems, and strengthen collaboration among three research labs at the department of forestry, University of Ljubljana, as well as with other international collaborators.
Significance for science
The proposed project will document early warning signs of climate change in temperate forests of Europe. The project will examine both fast (disturbance) and slow (climate) drivers of climate change, two fundamental processes that will alter forest ecosystems under climate change. There is growing interest and debate with regard to how a warmer and drought prone climate will alter forest recovery following large-scale disturbances. This project will provide timely empirical results from two dominant forest types in Europe. The international collaboration within the project will also provide new insight into drivers and rates of tree mortality across temperate forests and the globe. Understanding this fundamental process is critical for assessing forest resilience under climate change, and the role of forests in the global carbon cycle. The data compiled in the project will form part of a much larger database to ultimately help create updated mortality functions for global scale terrestrial vegetation models. Finally, the project will yield evidence if tree regeneration is tracking changes in climate, a process that models predict, but which still requires empirical support.
Understanding the basic processes described above is a critical step toward designing future management guidelines that will ensure continued provisioning of ecosystems services to society. For example, if we find that forest recovery after large disturbances is too slow or negatively effected by drought or other biotic processes, management plans could be designed to help facilitate recovery, which might include planting more drought adapted trees or increasing species diversity to make new forests more resistant and resilient to future climate change. Likewise, if we find evidence that forest regeneration is not tracking the climate, silvicultural measures could be performed to assist species movement and ease competition.
We expect to publish several papers in high-ranking international journals for each of the project workpackages to disseminate the results of the project.
Significance for the country
The proposed project will document early warning signs of climate change in temperate forests of Europe. The project will examine both fast (disturbance) and slow (climate) drivers of climate change, two fundamental processes that will alter forest ecosystems under climate change. There is growing interest and debate with regard to how a warmer and drought prone climate will alter forest recovery following large-scale disturbances. This project will provide timely empirical results from two dominant forest types in Europe. The international collaboration within the project will also provide new insight into drivers and rates of tree mortality across temperate forests and the globe. Understanding this fundamental process is critical for assessing forest resilience under climate change, and the role of forests in the global carbon cycle. The data compiled in the project will form part of a much larger database to ultimately help create updated mortality functions for global scale terrestrial vegetation models. Finally, the project will yield evidence if tree regeneration is tracking changes in climate, a process that models predict, but which still requires empirical support.
Understanding the basic processes described above is a critical step toward designing future management guidelines that will ensure continued provisioning of ecosystems services to society. For example, if we find that forest recovery after large disturbances is too slow or negatively effected by drought or other biotic processes, management plans could be designed to help facilitate recovery, which might include planting more drought adapted trees or increasing species diversity to make new forests more resistant and resilient to future climate change. Likewise, if we find evidence that forest regeneration is not tracking the climate, silvicultural measures could be performed to assist species movement and ease competition.
We expect to publish several papers in high-ranking international journals for each of the project workpackages to disseminate the results of the project.
Most important scientific results
Interim report
Most important socioeconomically and culturally relevant results